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by Thomas Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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- 1 weeks ago1h 10m
Dave Burton: “Lifetimes Of Atmospheric CO2 And Heat” #439
David Burton argues recent warming (~1.25°C since 1870) is small and often overstated, while CO2 benefits crops and ecosystems by boosting growth and water efficiency, reducing famine risk alongside fossil-fuel-based nitrogen fertilizer. He says storm and sea-level data show little acceleration, citing linear long-term tide-gauge records like Honolulu and noting local land motion dominates. His paper discusses multiple CO2 “lifetimes”: turnover (3–5 years), bomb-spike radiocarbon (~20 years), and the climate-relevant adjustment time he estimates at ~55±10 years, with a long tail he deems currently unimportant. He criticizes IPCC “cumulative emissions/TCRE” and “carbon budget” concepts as unphysical, analyzes direct waste heat as negligible (~52–58 days), and promotes his sealevel.info tools and archived Climategate emails.00:00 Meet David Burton00:23 How Much Warming Really02:04 Ice Ages And Freezing Thresholds03:06 CO2 Greening And Crop Gains05:28 Famine History And Fertilizer07:48 Storms Tornadoes And Sea Level11:00 Paper Overview CO2 Lifetimes11:55 Turnover Bomb Spike Adjustment14:31 Cumulative Emissions Myth15:38 Heat Pulse Lifetime19:45 Suess Effect Carbon14 Confusion27:03 Why CO2 Rises Negative Feedbacks30:03 Linear Removal Rate And Limits34:14 Why Plant Uptake Stays Linear35:30 CO2 Boosts Crop Yields37:03 Airborne Fraction Myth39:16 Emissions Plateau Math42:14 Long Tail Lifespan Debate43:40 Cumulative Emissions Critique48:49 Carbon Budget Pushback50:50 How Long Heat Lasts55:10 Where to Find More56:39 Sea Level Tools vs NOAA01:01:05 Climategate Archive Access01:02:56 Ocean Chemistry and Carbonate01:08:08 Climate Industry FUD Wraphttps://co2coalition.org/teammember/david-burton/ClimateGate emails on Dave’s site: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1916076156371058904Watts Up With That article on Dave’s site: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/21/new-website-gives-you-the-real-deal-on-sea-level-rise-and-rates/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 2 weeks ago1h 19m
Chuck Wiese: “Contradicting Conclusions From Atmospheric Science” #438
Chuck Weiss presents his background in atmospheric science, meteorology, aviation, and inventing the Windicator, then argues Oregon universities and public schools promote a politicized “climate crisis” despite Oregon’s small share of global emissions. He defines the greenhouse effect as a radiation-flux difference and claims water vapor and clouds dominate radiative processes while CO2 mainly cools the troposphere and has negligible warming influence, especially over oceans. He argues convection and the hydrologic cycle negate CO2 effects, climate models fail due to grid-resolution and energy-tracking limits, and key predictions (e.g., tropical mid-troposphere “hotspot”) conflict with balloon/satellite data. He attributes recent warming to declining albedo, alleges temperature-data manipulation, disputes extreme-weather and Arctic-ice claims, and criticizes green-energy policies as costly and ineffective.00:00 Meet Chuck Weiss00:25 Credentials and Forecasting Wins02:34 Aviation Career Highlights03:08 Why He Challenges CO2 Theory04:38 Oregon Climate Politics Critique07:39 Schools and Climate Indoctrination09:19 Defining the Greenhouse Effect12:00 Greenhouse Gases Spectrum Breakdown16:51 Why Greenhouse Gases Cool Air18:49 Water Vapor Drives Convection22:50 Clouds Cancel CO2 Warming24:53 Ocean Absorption Reality Check27:14 How Climate Models Work31:48 Model Predictions vs Observations36:04 Hotspot Failure in Mid Troposphere39:01 Temperature Data Adjustments42:00 Satellite Record Teaser42:17 Satellite Warming Pause43:41 Albedo Drives Warming44:37 Radiative Forcing Critique48:37 Hansen CO2 Claims50:13 Emissions vs CO2 Rise52:14 CO2 Cycle and E-Time55:59 Severe Weather Myth01:01:45 Trenberth Missing Heat01:03:03 Arctic Ice Reality Check01:04:58 Fake Crisis Wrap-Up01:06:56 Why Climate Models Fail01:09:29 AI and Turbulence Talk01:14:46 Flying in Heat and Cold01:17:41 Final Policy TakeawayChuck Wiese’s Critique of the 6th Oregon Climate assessment: https://edberry.com/critique-of-the-6th-oregon-climate-assessment/More at Ed Berry’s site here: https://edberry.com/?s=wiese=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 2 weeks ago1h 7m
Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437
Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice.00:00 Meet Iain Davis00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump03:10 Tokenizing Everything05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand10:51 Digital Control Pitch12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans16:04 Online Safety and Censorship20:31 X as Everything App23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails33:49 Programmable Money Interop35:51 BIS Controls Standards37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset41:13 Programmable Money Fears42:12 AI Data Lake Control46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines58:45 Digital ID Skepticism01:02:07 Agentic State Explained01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choicehttps://iaindavis.com/https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davishttps://x.com/_InThisTogether=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago55 min
Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436
Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates.00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro01:25 Oceanic Index Basics03:16 What I Accept04:45 Out of Sample Proof06:00 ECS Debate Explained07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming14:26 Back to 169516:34 Holocene Lessons17:40 Oceans Through Minima20:57 Warm Periods Without CO222:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check24:51 Extending Index to 1800s28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak30:55 El Niño Context31:22 ECS Assumptions31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal34:57 Frozen Formula Validation36:02 CERES Versus IPCC38:04 Scorecard Evidence40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda50:49 Iris Effect Question52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality55:27 Closing ThoughtsClimate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealismMain paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controlsThe paper on comparing the Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effectThe Paper On The Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago56 min
Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435
Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.00:00 Renewables Reality Check02:17 Capacity Factors Since 201005:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup08:42 Wind Drought Case Study11:43 Storage Costs And Scale13:25 Energy Return On Investment16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl25:01 Build Times And Lifespans29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China56:06 Wrap Up And ResourcesAbout Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/https://edhoskins.substack.com/CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- Oct 6, 20261h 8m
Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434
Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing.00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses01:29 Who Am I03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials26:37 Science Under Siege Critique30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene35:14 Hygiene and Dengue36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic39:53 Microcephaly Metrics42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric47:53 Yellow Fever Scares50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choiceshttps://x.com/@DrRandallBockhttps://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- Oct 2, 20261h 13m
John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433
John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.00:00 Meet John Costella00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus01:10 Sally Challenges Belief03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point04:34 Climategate Emails Leak05:53 Publishing The Email Archive07:54 Talks And Printed Book09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards16:02 How Long The Book Took17:48 Climate Science Complexity22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry31:04 Small Core Group Problem32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals38:27 Data and Code Transparency39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse43:19 Models and Feedback Loops46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Linkshttps://johncostella.com/https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdfClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- Sep 29, 20261h 12m
Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432
Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.00:00 Steve Returns and Topic00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere07:50 Evidence and Correlations13:28 New Solar Oscillations16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns42:14 Climate Impact Summary43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends59:12 Long Records and Big Claims01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols01:11:39 Closing RemarksStephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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About Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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